Prediction 2010: Granite Countertops Are So Last Decade
comments (53) December 22nd, 2009 in BlogsYou know that feeling you get as you walk into a house with puke-yellow kitchen countertops, pale blue bathroom tile, and olive green shag carpet? How about that "what were we thinking?!" reaction when you look at pictures of your first house, complete with fake-wood paneling in the living room, stained glass light over the table, and linoleum flooring in the kitchen?
Mark my words: That is exactly the response that people will have 10 years from now when looking back at granite countertops.
Let's face it. Granite is ridiculously expensive (typically $80 to $100 per sq. ft. installed), and frankly, a pain in the butt.
"Oh Barbara, you've GOT to get granite countertops for your kitchen, they are the best. Just don't forget to reinforce your base cabinets to carry the extra weight, seal the surface of the stone every 6 months, and never let anything concentrated or oily sit on the countertop surface."
I don't know about you guys, but if I'm spending $4,000 for kitchen countertops, I'd prefer not to have to buff the surface with a diaper and sing it lullabies before bed.
I'm sure many people will disagree with me, but the buzz among real estate agents seems to confirm my stance. As "Boston Real Estate Now" journalist Rona Fischman said in her 2008 column on the death of granite: "I have never liked granite, but for a while, my clients wanted it. Then about a year ago, I started to hear "granite, blah, blah..." or "I am so sick of granite and stainless steel." I think granite has died a natural death, gone the way of harvest gold bathtubs, paneling and Navaho White paint."
Still don't believe me? Consider this report from the U.S. International Trade Commission, which shows a roughly 50 percent decline in the import of "worked granite" last year.
My advice? Don't rule out laminate or solid surface countertops too quickly. Laminate is still used in 75 percent of all new kitchens, and even the most expensive varieties are still less than one-fifth the cost of granite. Want something more like granite? Consider solid surface, which will give you a 10 year guarantee - just about perfect timing to be replaced when your kitchen needs a style facelift in 2020.
posted in: Blogs, 2010, predictions, granite countertops
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Comments (53)
They also heated it with wood stoves and fireplaces.
The granite breakfast bar was such a heat sink that you couldn't have breakfast on it. Your eggs were cold before the second bite.
We were taliking about it the other day. She would now do laminate. It comes in huge variety of colors, and paterns, and is easy enough to change out that she could change the color scheme of the kitchen every year if she wanted.
And personally, it used to be a high end item, but with it in every double wide, it looses that luster.
I'm designing a new kitchen for my house. 84-inches of stainless at the sink, a seamless commercial double basin, with integral 32-inch drain board on one side, 12-inch drain on the other, integral front drop like a farm sink. Laminate for the rest of the counter with a maple front edge, so it is extremely easy to peel off and replace the laminate. Butcher block on the island. With a slab of marble, (sink cutout) I can set on the island if I need a cold surface for making pastries, bread or candy.
Posted: 4:46 pm on February 22nd
Posted: 6:08 pm on November 24th
Posted: 6:08 pm on November 24th
Posted: 4:29 pm on November 16th
Posted: 9:43 am on August 2nd
1. My old Biology and Chem lab from High School
2. The shiny, water pooling counter tops in public restrooms
3. If it's speckled stone, gravestone head stones ( there is actually a company near me that sells granite counter tops and gravestones - you choose!)
I have a similar problem with subway tiles because, well, they remind me of subways. Not nice clean new subways, but old stained subway tiles at downtrodden stops - why would I want that in my kitchen?
I have a small kitchen with white counter tops and a deep, double stainless steel sink with a great goose neck faucet. My floor is 12" warm sienna colored tiles, with a "chocolate" grout rather than brite white grout.The back splash is bead board that I installed myself and painted with a waterproof white paint, then repainted a warmer white. The frig is white (stainless would add too much gray) but the stove is stainless. My smallish island has a maple top that I recently sanded down and re sealed - it looks so fresh and kind of Swedish modern... Everyone loves my little kitchen, we all hang out there when I entertain.!
Posted: 8:57 am on August 15th
I predict another thing hopefully on it's way out - center of the house kitchens. Ugh...so boring..no windows...no charm. Tons of cabinets. I predict we will go back to isolated kitchens with tons of light with an actual kitchen table in the middle. We are going to build a house with this look - the only thing that I can't figure out is how to incorporate an island since I love to cook like a chef and still retain the centered kitchen table.
Posted: 11:15 am on March 7th
I feel granite has always been a "luxury" item, but now with pre fab, the price has come down so low that almost it anyone and everyone has it. People will eventually want something that their neighbor does not have yet. Especially in the higher end homes. I think this will shift the market to another product.
I am ready for a shift in the market. Hopefully it will be back to solid surface. The manufactures are getting better, making more natural patterns and unique colors.
Posted: 6:21 am on January 4th
Your personal preferences aside, 57% of houses over 300k(last years real estate stats) have stone counter tops. Most of these are granite or marble although soft stone (soap stone slate etc..) is making large inroads due to the muted colors and being "trendy".
Remember that stone has been used for THOUSANDS of years for many building applications and still remains the greenest, most durable material for working surfaces. With literally thousands of colors and patterns to work with in design applications.
If you had maintenance issues with your tops then it was either NOT granite or it was sealed improperly or with a poor quality sealer. More than likely the counters were gneiss or juperana(metamorphic stone) not igneous
Like any product stone sealer has varying quality and life span usually from 1 year to as long as 25 years. I recommend a sealer with at least a ten year life span to ensure minimum maintenance issues.
As an owner and fabricator / installer of stone products for the last 22 years I must protest your inferences that granite is on the way out. It has always been and will continue to be the preferred material of discerning designers and owners the world over.
Posted: 4:57 pm on April 28th
Posted: 10:04 pm on January 27th
I am not disagreed with you. You are telling absolutely right but sometimes anybody can not take all decisions for his house maintaining. My family members want granite and I will try to convince them.
Posted: 2:26 am on January 18th
I am not disagreed with you. You are telling absolutely right but sometimes anybody can not take all decisions for his house maintaining. My family members want granite and I will try to convince them.
Posted: 2:26 am on January 18th
I am not disagreed with you. You are telling absolutely right but sometimes anybody can not take all decisions for his house maintaining. My family members want granite and I will try to convince them.
Posted: 2:26 am on January 18th
I am not disagreed with you. You are telling absolutely right but sometimes anybody can not take all decisions for his house maintaining. My family members want granite and I will try to convince them.
limestone exporter
Posted: 2:25 am on January 18th
I am not disagreed with you. You are telling absolutely right but sometimes anybody can not take all decisions for his house maintaining. My family members want granite and I will try to convince them.
limestone exporter
Posted: 2:24 am on January 18th
I am not disagreed with you. You are telling absolutely right but sometimes anybody can not take all decisions for his house maintaining. My family members want granite and I will try to convince them.
limestone exporter
Posted: 2:24 am on January 18th
Emerson Schwartzkopf
Editor, Stone Business
Posted: 8:51 pm on January 11th
Posted: 10:55 pm on January 7th
Posted: 7:19 pm on January 3rd
Posted: 5:15 pm on January 2nd
Posted: 10:36 pm on January 1st
I just completed countertops in my home. I choose soapstane and purchased slabs on-line. Outside of the weight it was easy to work (even for a first time amateur like me) and once installed looks great. I realize it will scratch and possibly chip but in our craftsman style home i believe that will just become part of the character of the kitchen. Once oiled the seams disappear and the white talc streaks on the nearly black surface look great.
I'm not sure where granite is going but based on my experience soapstone is a great material and the price was right.
Posted: 9:19 am on December 30th
Nice try, Justin. I'm not buying.
Posted: 5:24 pm on December 29th
Posted: 3:30 pm on December 29th
And how about all the home shows on TV and people walk into the kitchen - "oh, look at the beautiful granite counters" .....boring!
Think about how in Europe for years they have been using marble as well as granite and let it age. Marble at least, is so much more interesting than most granites.
In my kitchen I have a granite counter on my island which I don't really like, but I don't dislike it enough to change it, and then I have good old plastic laminate on the rest of the counters. This has been in my kitchen for about 18 years now and I have not ONCE treated the granite and it is perfectly fine - so no babying there!
And for thoses of you who dislike plastic laminate - look at some of the high end (and I don't mean Scavolini!)European kitchens that use plastic laminates - they are outstanding!
I work as an Interior Designer and do quite a few kitchens and quite frankly, there is no RIGHT answer - every kitchen and client is different - different lifestyle, different likes, different budgets. We're lucky to have so many choices!
Posted: 11:25 am on December 29th
Like the seasons, all things change. Just have to decide which is best for your business, home, lifestyle and your conscience.
Thanks, Yellow Dog WoodWorking
Posted: 12:10 am on December 29th
Remember when all homes had oak floors and the craze for "wall-to-wall carpeting" dictated that those oak floors be covered over? And then what happened? The carpeting got old and dirty (and if you've ever removed old carpeting and shaken it out, you know what dirty really is!) and the oak flooring was rediscovered, refinished and sanity prevailed in the room after decades of (ugh!) shags, pastels, browns, greens, orange shag, and white, sisal, etc.
Why didn't concrete counter tops catch on? Boring! Stainless steel is eminently practical as a counter top, but it's - boring. Granite maay fade in and out of use, but I'd guess it's mostly about the color than it is about the granite itself. It's not going away any more than painted fiberboard kitchen cabinets are ever going to make a permanent come-back and replace real wood cabinets. The lesser products simply appeal to a lower price-point, and though those bored with granite will probably replace it, why are you planning to replace your laminate in 10 years if you're not already anticipating becoming bored with it? Anyone with granite anticipating its replacement in 10 years with a laminate product? I didn't think so...
Posted: 10:06 pm on December 28th
Posted: 10:06 pm on December 28th
Same thing with stainless steel appliances. Originally it was simply that expensive units were stainless steel and so people wanted them; manufacturers made new models that used s/s but were less and less expensive and suddenly it's just ordinary. Same with Titanium; a few years ago anything titanium was ludicrously expensive and then the ex soviet union countries that had all the Ti mines wanted money and flooded the market and now you get titanium... anything.
None of it has any relation to the virtues of the materials; granite is still a fine worktop material, stainless is excellent on appliances, titanium is still incredibly strong for its mass, etc.
Posted: 6:32 pm on December 28th
Posted: 6:22 pm on December 28th
Posted: 6:17 pm on December 28th
Why do people have such an aversion to laminate? It's quite practical. The very least of its qualities is that it can be replaced without guilt after ten or twenty years if tastes change or remodeling occurs.
Posted: 6:11 pm on December 28th
Posted: 3:21 pm on December 28th
Formica, Corian, and ceramic tile will rank in the distance below concrete, sheet-copper and exotic woods. Tile is the most 'yesterday of them all. The Green crowd will make a minor splash with Bamboo and Cork, which have some genuinely appealing qualities. Teak anyone?
Posted: 2:37 pm on December 28th
Now in the historic home we purchased in another city, we are faced with the same "battle". Kitchen renovation has yet to be started as I can't decide what counter material to use in a home built in 1905! One thing I do know is granite will not be an option! Any suggestions?
Posted: 12:32 pm on December 28th
Posted: 11:49 am on December 28th
Granite may be timeless, that is, millions of years old; but fashion trends are anything but.
When I first got into the the bath and kitchen design business we were telling people that Harvest Gold was the new neutral, it would be around forever.
Granite, while beautiful, has become trite. People will not continue to pay top dollar for something that has become so commonplace that you can even get it in your new double-wide.
I agree that granite is singing its swan song. Just waiting to see what is going to take its place.
Posted: 11:09 am on December 28th
Posted: 10:48 am on December 28th
Posted: 10:43 am on December 28th
I have solid surface counter in my kitchen that I bought from a surplus and salvage place that was covered up with the stuff when everybody started switching to granite. What will the granite be used for when everybody decides it's passé? Thermally massive floors next to a south facing window to soak up winter sun?
Posted: 10:32 am on December 28th
http://www.radon.com/radon/granite.html
"In a small number of homes, the building materials (e.g., granite and certain concrete products) can give off radon, although building materials rarely cause radon problems by themselves. In the United States, radon gas in soils is the principal source of elevated radon levels in homes."
Listen to the EPA, not some blowhard on this web site.
Posted: 10:24 am on December 28th
No, granite will never go away even tho there are many finishes to choose from. People will continue to buy what they like so be it, but granite is timeless.
Posted: 10:23 am on December 28th
Even laminate looks like granite, at least the laminate that's displayed in the big box stores. Fortunately, with a little research, you can indeed find solid-color laminates that look fine with a period house. You can even find solid bright red, and I might just order that to be contrary!
Don't get me started on stainless steel appliances.
Posted: 10:17 am on December 28th
There is a lot of variation in granite,
so it's not just the avacado ref. or the harvest gold range that you alluded to.
The price of granite is relatively inexpensive compared to 'equal' quality materials.
The price of granite has free falled since availabilty and competition have increased.
The imports have probably slowed, due to domestic quaries.
The first granite top I installed was in 1990.
Plastic laminate should be set aside as a 'pre-historic' material that should be laid to rest, I used it about 20 years ago as a color instead of lacquer or paint. (I never really liked the stuff!)
The only good thing about PL, it is cheap and it may fit into a lot of peoples budgets.
Concrete counter tops remind me of eating on the garage floor, with the oil stains.
Solid surface reminds me of a chemical waste.
I like natural stone, and wood. (here to stay)
Posted: 10:01 am on December 28th
The only thing I suggest is be careful of the pattern or colors you choose. Uba Tuba, Venitian Gold, and colors like that are a good bet. I'd put them up against any laminate 10 years down the road. And until the man-made products come off their prices, we will continue to see this argument for a long time.
Posted: 9:49 am on December 28th
Posted: 8:59 am on December 28th
Give it another look.
Posted: 7:31 am on December 28th
Posted: 7:20 am on December 28th
I can maybe understand some colors of stone, fabricated geometries, or amount of coverage being outdated. But then we are talking more of an outdated design than material.
I think the price of granite is accepted amongst most homeowners and so has become too commonplace for upscale clients to desire anymore. There will be a trend shift in that upper market towards the new and hard to find, but it will also be that market that (as usual) looks the most dated in 10 years.
I know I already feel sick when looking at 1980's and 90's upscale modern but a well designed traditional or rustic from the same time period seems to keep up to date.
Posted: 7:11 am on December 28th
Posted: 7:06 am on December 28th
Posted: 6:31 am on December 28th
And because granite is a natural product, it doesn't have that dated "man made" life-span. I'd say solid-surface has passed its prime, and concrete is but a flash in the pan. But granite will be appreciated for a long time.
Granite is still overpriced but in many markets (not the USA) its installed price has dropped by two-thirds over the last decade. In the US, it's still considered high-end and the price is kept artificially high - I expect that will soon change.
Let's face it - laminate does the job well at a good price/value ratio. It's simple enough to tear out and throw away should it become damaged - or even if you just tire of it. Granite is a commitment - but high maintenance? Compared to what?
The worst thing about granite is its unforgiving nature to your Pyrex and crockery. It won't hurt your granite to take hot casseroles straight from the oven, but don't set them down too hard!
Posted: 5:06 am on December 28th
Posted: 8:07 am on December 26th
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